More Leads Won’t Fix Your HVAC Business Without Fixing This First

You’ve probably thought it before. Things are slow, the phone isn’t ringing enough, and your first instinct is to call your marketing agency and say: we need more leads.

Sometimes you’re right. Lead volume and lead quality are real problems — and we deal with them every day at Elevated.

But sometimes, more leads is just a more expensive version of the same problem.

I sat down with Michael Busic, co-owner of North Edge Marketing, on the Elevated Trade Secrets podcast, and we went deep on something that most HVAC contractors never actually look at: where revenue is leaking after the lead comes in. Michael’s background is engineering, and he brought a refreshingly analytical lens to what most people treat as a gut-feel problem.

Here’s what we covered — and more importantly, what you can do about it.

The Real Question Isn’t “Do We Have Enough Leads?”

Michael put it simply: if you’re not tracking your customer journey from first contact to completed job, you have no idea what to fix.

Most contractors aren’t running a broken marketing strategy. They’re running a broken sales funnel — and they’re treating it like a marketing problem.

You can’t fix what you can’t measure.

Your Booking Rate Is Lying to You

Here’s something that’ll sting a little.

If your CSR team is booking at 70–90%, that number almost certainly includes repeat customers — people who already know you, already trust you, and were going to book regardless. Fold those in with cold new leads from Google and your real new lead booking rate could be a fraction of what you think.

Once you separate repeat work from cold new leads and segment those booking rates by type (service call, install opportunity, repeat job), you’ll see exactly where your CSR team is struggling. And that’s the data that tells you what to train on.

Nobody Is Ready to Buy When They Answer the Phone

Here’s a process almost no HVAC company has in place: a pre-sales asset sent to the homeowner before the comfort advisor walks through the door.

Think about what typically happens. A CSR books the appointment, and then… nothing. The homeowner forgets. Something comes up. They cancel or reschedule. Or the comfort advisor shows up cold to a homeowner who has no idea who they’re talking to or why they should buy.

What Michael’s team does instead is send homeowners a complete pre-sales package before the appointment: what to expect, what the advisor will look at, what mistakes people commonly make when comparing estimates. It handles objections before they’re even raised and positions you above every competitor before your advisor ever knocks on the door.

The close rate difference? Significant. The cost? A well-built automation.

You Have $100,000 Sitting in Expired Estimates

This one hit close to home — literally, I was looking at this exact situation with a client the week we recorded this episode.

His leads looked fine. Unique leads, quotable leads, opportunity value — all healthy on our end. But the gap between quote value and closed revenue was massive. Roughly nine or ten percent of estimates were being closed.

We pulled his Housecall Pro data and found over $100,000 in open estimates that had gone dead in the past six weeks. Housecall Pro auto-marks them expired after 30 days. Not a single follow-up call. Not one text. Not one email.

His competitors are following up three times. He’s following up zero times. That’s where the $100K went.

The fix isn’t complicated. Go into your CRM right now, export every open estimate from the past three, six, or twelve months, and send them a sequence — text and email — that leads with value, not just “hey, did you think about that estimate we sent?” Nobody wants that message. Give them a reason to re-engage.

You Lost the Lead Before You Even Started

Remember the flower shop owner story?

A homeowner called in for a mini-split install. She was basically ready to buy. She mentioned she owns a flower shop and things were crazy busy through Mother’s Day, so she’d call back after.

The CSR said, “Great, we’ll be here when you’re ready.”

That LSA lead cost 90 bucks. She’s never calling back. She’s going back to Google when she remembers, and whoever picks up next gets the job.

The CSR should have done one thing: put her on the calendar for the week after Mother’s Day. If she needs to reschedule, fine. But getting her in the system with an appointment date means there’s a 50% chance she keeps it — and you just sold a mini-split without a single additional marketing dollar.

This is a training problem, not a marketing problem.

After the Job Is Done, You’re Just Getting Started

Most contractors finish the install and disappear. Job closed, move on. That’s arguably the biggest revenue leak in the entire funnel.

That customer already trusts you. They already like you. And they have:

  • Friends and family who need HVAC work
  • Other systems in their home (plumbing, electrical) that need attention
  • A unit that’ll need a tune-up every spring and fall
  • Upsell opportunities for IAQ products, smart thermostats, maintenance contracts

But you’re leaving all of that on the table if you don’t have a post-job sequence that nurtures them over time.

The key is leading with education, not a pitch. Don’t send “hey, did you know we also do plumbing?” Do send: “Hey, here’s a story about a homeowner just like you whose water heater we helped replace after their HVAC install — they saved X on their energy bill. Want a free inspection?” The feeling you sell is more powerful than the feature.

Reviews Are a System, Not a Request

You’re not going to get consistent reviews by asking once and hoping.

The sequence that works: text immediately after job completion, email the same evening if no response, text again two days later, final email two days after that. After four touches, you let it go — you don’t want to harass anyone.

For field techs, Michael’s recommendation is to incentivize them with a spiff — $25 to $50 per review — and run a leaderboard in the office. Make it competitive. A $500 bonus for the tech with the most reviews in a month costs you less than one lost job and builds your reputation for years.

One tactical note: you can’t incentivize homeowners to leave reviews, or Google will suspend your listing. Incentivize your techs to earn reviews naturally.

Fix One Constraint at a Time

Michael brought up the theory of constraints, and it applies perfectly here.

You track everything. You find the one biggest bottleneck. You fix it. Then you run the process again, find the next bottleneck, and fix that. You don’t try to fix everything at once — you’ll fix nothing.

That’s an engineering mindset applied to a sales funnel, and it’s exactly the discipline most contractors skip.

The Bucket With the Holes

Michael’s mentor put it perfectly: you have a bucket of water full of holes. You can keep filling it, but it’s never going to fill up until you patch the holes.

Throwing more ad spend at a broken sales process just amplifies the waste. Every dollar you add to the top of the funnel flows straight out through untracked leads, unfollowed estimates, no-shows, and lost repeat business at the bottom.

Before you ask for more leads, ask what’s happening to the ones you already have.

What You Can Do Tomorrow

Two concrete places to start:

1. Export your open estimates. Go back three, six, or twelve months and find every estimate that never closed. Build a simple text and email sequence that leads with value. Even recovering 10–15% of those conversations is likely worth tens of thousands of dollars.

2. Launch a referral program worth talking about. $500 per referred install. Not $25. Your customer acquisition cost is probably already there when you factor in ad spend and sales commissions — redirect it to the customers who already love you and watch them recruit new ones for you.

At Elevated, we grow 1% every day. We don’t claim to know everything. But we do know this: the best-performing clients we work with aren’t always the ones spending the most on marketing. They’re the ones who’ve fixed the leaks before they scaled.

If you want to talk through where your funnel is leaking, book a strategy call with our team. We’ll look at your numbers honestly and tell you exactly what we see.

About the Author

Jared Tangir is the CEO of Elevated HVAC Marketing, a boutique digital marketing agency that exclusively serves HVAC contractors. With a track record of generating millions in new revenue for clients ranging from sub-$1M to $15M+ businesses, Jared and his team specialize in building predictable, profitable lead generation systems—not just websites. Based in Doylestown, PA, he’s known for his direct, no-fluff approach to marketing strategy and relentless focus on measurable ROI.